Again, I’m a Russian and I do NOT wish ill for my homeland. In the contrary, I wish it all the best. And I am certainly not enjoying making such dire predictions. However, I can’t ignore the dire reality and believe sweet propaganda lies instead like Putin’s fans are doing.
When I make predictions for the future overall, I do not project my wishes and hopes into my analysis and predictions like majority of fake Western ANAlysts are doing. Nope, I am objectively analyzing data and make predictions based on the most plausible development of the situation whether I like this development or not.
Most Western ANALysts of Ukrainian war in the contrary just project their hopes into their predictions - that is, NAFOids always ‘predict’ eventual collapse of Russia while Putinoids - eventual demise of Ukraine.
They do not even pretend to be objective and to analyze actual probabilities and likelihoods, nope - they just shamelessly project their hopes into their predictions. Hence, their predictions have a value below zero, it’s just their hopes, not actual predictions. I fail to understand this extreme idiocy.
But, to my predictions. As you could have guessed, they would be very dire for Russia indeed. Trump’s peace deal (if it happens) is really the best Russia could ever get. Otherwise, it’s collapse of Russian economy under Western sanctions or even Serbian scenario played upon Russia by NATO (which involves bombing of Russian land by NATO troops) or military coup in Russia with prosecution and execution of a traitor and WEF agent Putin and then fighting a real war against NATO (not pretending to do it like Putin does!) which might end in a nuclear fire indeed.
In case you think I’m just spouting bullshit here, look up this note where my previous predictions on Ukraine-Russia came true despite I was vilified for them by both Putinoids and NAFOids.
Here below is the list of my new predictions:
1) Trump Peace Deal
This is as I had already said is the best Russia could hope for. If made, such a deal would cancel or at least postpone collapse of Russian economy under Western sanctions (if Trump partially lifts the sanctions) and eventual Russian defeat. As a side bonus, it could allow Russia to keep newly acquired Ukrainian land.
However, even that is not that great for Moscow and certainly isn’t ‘decisive Russian win’. Because ofc ZelenSSKy regime in Kyiv would survive same as Ukrainian Nazi military, and Western endless ‘support’ of Ukraine with money and weapons would continue (Trump will only make Europe pay for Ukraine instead of America). Thus, all Putin’s proclaimed goals of his SMO wouldn’t be achieved though I have no doubt Kremlin propagandists and other ZaPutin fans would still do their best to frame it as a ‘decisive Russian victory’.
In truth, it would just be return to what Russia had before SMO - same split of Ukraine between Putin and NATO. So please do tell me why exactly over half million Russians died, what for? Why Russian economy had suffered as much, what for? To get something Russia already had before? A ‘perfect deal’ indeed!
But even this imperfect peace in Ukraine wouldn’t last forever. To be more precise, it would last as long as Trump does. Once Trump is gone and DemoNrats are back, they would find a way to break Trump’s peace agreement (just like they were never going to abide by Minsk protocol either) and to start war yet again, this time with fatal for Russia results, with no Trump around to save Russia again.
2) Collapse of Russian economy
However, as I said, Trump peace deal is really the best Russia could hope for. Other options are much worse for it. Collapse of Russian economy under Western sanctions is one of them. With Russian hyperinflation about 10% and interest rate above 20% (which is a dead spiral for businesses driving them bankrupt), this is a highly likely scenario. If the main factor causing this shit - Western sanctions - isn’t removed (with Trump peace deal), it’s even the most probable scenario for Russia I’d say.
No need to say that collapse of Russian economy would lead to Russian defeat in Ukraine against NATO too, and even to possible land loss for Russia. So not only Russia would fail to secure Ukrainian land it had just acquired, it would be forced to give up some of its own land - not just to Ukraine but maybe even to Finland (Karelia and Vyborg) and Japan (Kuril islands). NAFOids would say it’s even karmic for Russia - trying to get more land, it would lose some of its own land instead.
3) Serbian Scenario Replayed on Russia
This is the direst scenario for Russia, the one I’m as a Russian is worried the most. In this scenario, if Trump would fail to secure peace, NATO would indeed bomb Russia like it did Serbia back in 90s, thus forcing Russia to give up all its ambition in Ukraine and defeating and humiliating it more than completely. How many people in Russia would die and suffer in this scenario I’m afraid to even imagine.
Zaputin fans would predictably say ‘nonsense, NATO would never dare to bomb the greatest nuclear power in the world and even if they did, Putin will make them regret it forever’. REALLY? Just like ‘NATO would never allow Ukrainian long range strikes inside Russia’ as you were saying before, and now they just did? And what your false idol Putin had done in response? A posing strike with a sketchy ‘hypersonic missile’ which had done next to zero damage? So what exactly makes you think NATO wouldn’t dare to go one step further and bomb Russia not with Ukrainian but with their own hands? And what makes you think that traitor and coward Putin who lies and bluffs more often than he breathes would do anything in response? Do you learn on what’s going on or do you prefer closing your eyes to reality as usual? Sigh.
4) Military Coup in Russia with Prosecution and Execution of a Traitor Putin
If Russian military isn’t all treasonous like Putin (and I believe not, otherwise Putin wouldn’t have been so secretive even with them!) and isn’t as dumb as ZaPutin fans (and I really hope it’s not), then, if Trump peace deal would be unfavorable for Russia or if it would be sabotaged and Russian collapse would loom on the horizon, the military would finally put two and two together and urgently execute a coup to depose traitor Putin and all his treacherous oligarchy, swiftly prosecute and execute them on military tribunal for treason and war crimes against Russian people, and then start fighting in Ukraine for real, not just pretending to do so like Putin did all these years. That might mean total military mobilization in Russia or even nuking Ukraine.
Now, although this scenario would be satisfying for me personally because it would finally expose Putin’s treason and bring him to justice (long overdue!) at the same time annihilating neo Nazi Ukraine with its terror hub and Nazi nest, ultimately this option isn’t that great for both Russia and the world as well. Because well, how could a real World War III with potential use of nukes be good for anyone?
So, those are my predictions for Russia in a nutshell which might start coming true already next year. I sincerely hope for Scenario 1 and am really scared of Scenario 3. But time will tell how would it be though. Either way, I’m certain there’s 99% probability of one of these four scenarios coming true (maybe two or even three at the same time - that is, Russian economy collapses, then emboldened by it NATO bombs Russia and in response Russian military deposes Putin and starts WWIII. Curtain falls.)
Ofc, ZaPutin fans would again accuse me of being an ‘idiot, paranoid and NAFOid’. Kinda like they did when two years I predicted Ukrainian incursion into Russia (and now we have Ukrainian incursion into Kursk which is a Russia proper). Or like they did when I predicted Biden would allow Ukrainian long range strikes inside Russia (and now he just did). But ofc it’s still me who is a ‘paranoid, idiot and NAFOid’ (despite me being an actual Russian patriot and not Putin’s dummy) and not Putin’s fans who are ignorant idiots brainwashed by his propaganda more than completely and denying dire reality in favor of Putin’s sweet lies.
Obviously by what I said, I don’t mean to diminish the impact this conflict has had on people…not at all. From my perspective in the Uk, most of the police figures in this country and most of Europe are too busy looking outside their country’s to notice what happening inside them! Hope that makes sense…
This all makes for very uncomfortable reading. As I understand it, a main part of Trump’s agenda is to expose the deep state and open the door to a more democratic America while closing the door to the surging illegal migration problem. It’s hard for anyone to know what the truth is anymore because there isn’t only one truth. I doubt any sane minded, free thinking person wanted the conflict in Ukraine no matter what nation they might be from. It’s utterly tragic! If we could respect each other’s values we’d probably find we all have more in common than we realise and be able to focus on the real global threat together which is Islamic extremism. Instead we have to tolerate the, who’s the biggest boy in the neighbourhood mentality which makes everybody insecure and quite frankly it’s pathetic and just flawed muscle flexing that nobody benefits from accept those with the biggest wallets and mouths! Sovereignty yes! Understanding yes! Respectful boundaries yes! Cut out the shit and listen and learn from each other. Put the past where it belongs and turn to the real threats and confront it together as allies…common ground and some goodwill might grow from that. Ideology has infiltrated all political standings and nations and there’s no doubt about that! There’s a revolution starting to gain momentum accross the western world where the people, good decent people are finally saying fuck this shit…our leaders can’t even defend their own people let alone go banging down doors in other countries where they don’t belong! It’s a horrible pill to swallow Alex when we find ourselves confronting the reality of the future, especially when none of it looks good for any of us! I know exactly what you mean when you mention the predicable and how unwilling people can be to take any personal responsibility for what is happening or indeed might or will happen.